{"id":5368,"date":"2018-12-10T08:30:07","date_gmt":"2018-12-10T07:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradecloud1.com\/?p=5368"},"modified":"2018-12-10T08:30:07","modified_gmt":"2018-12-10T07:30:07","slug":"supply-chain-predictions-for-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/supply-chain-predictions-for-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"Supply Chain Predictions for 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The electronics supply chain, for the past year, has been marked by component shortages, lead-time extensions and tariff uncertainties. Nevertheless, it\u2019s been a good year for component manufacturers and distributors\u2014many of which have reported\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/epsnews.com\/2018\/11\/16\/ecia-q3-component-sales-up\/\">record quarterly sales<\/a>\u00a0during 2018. In\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.idc.com\/getdoc.jsp?containerId=US44483918\">2019, IDC projects<\/a>, the supply chain writ large is poised to transition from a cost center to an \u201copportunity center\u201d as digital transformation accelerates.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you go back\u2014and I\u2019ve been in the supply chain for a long time\u2014one of the shifts I have seen in recent years is the supply chain is no longer about the lowest cost,\u201d said Simon Ellis, IDC program vice president for global Supply Chain Strategies. \u201cThe challenge has been \u2018How do I do what I do as inexpensively as possible?\u2019 Now we have moved into the digital era where [the supply chain\u2019s task] is to deliver to customers\u2019 expectations. That\u2019s where we see opportunity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Computer manufacturer\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.marsdd.com\/mars-library\/case-study-dell-distribution-and-supply-chain-innovation\/\">Dell<\/a>\u00a0first viewed the supply chain as a competitive advantage back in 1997. IDC characterizes 2018 as a year of transition where old, analog processes were replaced by digital. \u201cDigital transformation (DX) was the key overriding theme and will continue to be for 2019,\u201d Ellis said, \u201cbut the supply chain is increasingly viewed by manufacturers and retailers as a critical function for their future success. If companies are going to embrace new business models, or digitally enable older ones, they are going to need a modern, capable supply chain to do it.\u201d<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-30140 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/epsnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/digital.transform.sized_.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/epsnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/digital.transform.sized_.jpg 500w, https:\/\/epsnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/digital.transform.sized_-300x150.jpg 300w\" alt=\"global, supply chain, predictions, digital transformation\" width=\"500\" height=\"250\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Predictions for 2019 IDC\u2019s center around expansion in the use of AI, data<a href=\"https:\/\/epsnews.com\/2018\/09\/17\/iiot-rewards-risks\/\">, automation and networking.<\/a>&#8220;The supply chain continues on its journey of almost unparalleled levels of change,\u201d said Ellis. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/epsnews.com\/2017\/12\/20\/28386\/\">Digital transformation<\/a>\u00a0is now the overriding priority for most manufacturers and retailers, with the adoption of digital technologies aimed at improving efficiency and effectiveness as well as providing the opportunity to either disrupt their market segment or be resilient to others that may try.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>IDC\u2019s predictions for 2019 are:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>By 2024, more than 60 percent of G2000 manufacturing organizations will rely on artificial intelligence platforms to drive digital transformation across the supply chain, leading to productivity gains of more than 20 percent.<\/li>\n<li>By 2022, more than 40 percent of manufacturers worldwide will be integrating data from product life-cycle apps into their supply chain data to improve overall after-sales service levels, achieving increases of 60 percent.<\/li>\n<li>By 2020, 65 percent of ecommerce operations will make use of autonomous mobile robots within their order fulfillment processes, thus helping increase productivity by more than 100 percent.<\/li>\n<li>By 2021, smart supplier life-cycle management solutions will automate 50 percent of suppliers&#8217; enterprise activities, from onboarding to exit, thus improving both performance and relationships.<\/li>\n<li>By 2024, one-third of large manufacturers will have moved to using actual demand data instead of short-term forecasts, resulting in an on-time in full (OTIF) delivery improvement of 2 percentage points on average.<\/li>\n<li>By 2020, half of the large manufacturers will have begun shifting their supply chain applications from enterprise centric to network centric, driving productivity gains of 2 percentage points.<\/li>\n<li>By 2022, digital technologies will have enabled the automation of repetitive operational tasks, leading to 50 percent less planner intervention and &#8220;touchless&#8221; sales and operations planning.<\/li>\n<li>By 2023, talent shortages in the supply chain for 75 percent of the top 500 manufacturers worldwide will largely have been mitigated using supply chain digital assistants.<\/li>\n<li>By 2019, 25 percent of manufacturers will have doubled investments in distribution automation in reaction to dramatic increases in single-item orders originating from the growth of online marketplaces.<\/li>\n<li>By 2020, track-and-trace investments will have increased by 30 percent to improve forecast accuracy and customer experience metrics and real-time order visibility will have become the norm for consumers.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<div id=\"attachment_30141\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-30141 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/epsnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Simon-Ellis-IDC.sized_-214x300.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 214px) 100vw, 214px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/epsnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Simon-Ellis-IDC.sized_-214x300.jpg 214w, https:\/\/epsnews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/Simon-Ellis-IDC.sized_.jpg 250w\" alt=\"supply chain, forecast, preidctions, digital\" width=\"214\" height=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">IDC Global Supply Chain VP Simon Ellis<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Several of these transitions will significantly benefit the electronics supply chain, which is distinguished by its complexity and inexact forecasting. \u201cIn Prediction 5, the idea is that short-term forecasting is hard to do\u2014some industries have done it well and others poorly,\u201d said Ellis. \u201cSo, as we get more visibility into consumption \u2013 at the store or other points of sale (POS)\u2014we are able to measure real demand rather than predict demand.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ellis acknowledges that manufacturing lead times for electronics components, which average 18 weeks, remain problematic. In this case, he said, businesses should focus on medium- to long-term forecasts that provide useful information. \u201cThe fact that customers often buy products in a Tuesday doesn\u2019t have much of an impact,\u201d said Ellis. \u201cLead times, to a degree, dictate where consumption information is useful.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Suppliers manufacturing products sold to a variety of customers can leverage this type of data to enhance the ability to remain flexible and responsive to changing customer demands. \u201cLet\u2019s say I manufacture hard drives but I haven\u2019t put them in a case yet,\u201d Ellis explained. \u201cI postpone the final configuration until the last moment when I know whether the product is going into a smart phone or a tablet.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Even the most complex supply chains can be evolved into opportunity centers, Ellis said. Electronics companies that continue to automate warehousing can increase order accuracy while cutting costs.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe question I get more than any other is, in an industry where we\u2019ve dealt with full pallets and truck loads for 50 years, how do we face the prospect of selling a single item to directly to a consumer? And how do you do that economically?\u201d said Ellis.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur feeling is that those tasks are well serviced by robots. For an industry such as electronics distribution where a distributor buys from manufacturers and breaks down small orders and maybe ships them the same day, robots are optimal for any business that has to facilitate that kind of fulfillment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Source:\u00a0https:\/\/epsnews.com\/2018\/12\/06\/global-supply-chain-2019\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The electronics supply chain, for the past year, has been marked by component shortages, lead-time extensions and tariff uncertainties. Nevertheless, it\u2019s been a good year for component manufacturers and distributors\u2014many of which have reported\u00a0record quarterly sales\u00a0during 2018. In\u00a02019, IDC projects, the supply chain writ large is poised to transition from a cost center to an  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":2972,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trends"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/06\/supply-chain-map-tradecloud.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5368","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5368"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5368\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5369,"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5368\/revisions\/5369"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2972"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5368"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5368"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecloud.hdnk.nl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5368"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}